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0xa4372d...732155

0xa4372d...732155
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
75.8%
Total P&L
+$330
Trade Count
286
Sharpe Ratio
-0.00
Sortino Ratio
-0.00
Max Drawdown
623.9%
ROI
2.0%
Profit Factor
35.82
Kelly Fraction
0.737
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY98.2¢68.35Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY97.3¢40Mar 4
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?BUY95.0¢30Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?BUY99.8¢67Feb 18
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?BUY99.8¢67Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?BUY99.6¢1,435.74Feb 17
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?BUY99.6¢128.53Feb 17
Will Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?BUY99.4¢39.09Jan 25
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?SELL73.0¢50Jan 24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY96.0¢78.01Jan 24
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY98.2¢50Jan 24
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?SELL27.0¢8.8Jan 24
Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings?BUY30.0¢5Jan 24
Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings?SELL20.0¢20Jan 24
Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?SELL47.0¢19.32Jan 24
Will ConocoPhillips (COP) beat quarterly earnings?SELL64.0¢20Jan 24
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?SELL90.0¢20Jan 24
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?SELL49.0¢11.79Jan 24
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?SELL23.0¢14.47Jan 24
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?SELL25.0¢23Jan 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%6%10–20%20–30%7%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%65%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.83
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.3%
Win Consistency56.2%
Profit Factor0.87
Drawdown Resilience0.70
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity84 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,4561d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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