0xa4535c...79a748

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.4%

Total P&L

+$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.84

Sortino Ratio

3.93

Max Drawdown

50.7%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

5.19

Kelly Fraction

0.359

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

051.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	46	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	96.4¢	54	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	63	Mar 4
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.7¢	66	Feb 28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	54	Feb 27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	63	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	54	Feb 26
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	97.8¢	48	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	79	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	96.1¢	13	Feb 26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.5¢	76	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	48	Feb 25

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing51.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.84

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.0%

Win Consistency44.4%

Profit Factor1.34

Drawdown Resilience1.08

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.08

Weekly Sharpe est.0.83

Trading Activity12 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$4211d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue