0xa4771b...d1c9c2

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.4%

Total P&L

+$13.4K

Trade Count

179

Sharpe Ratio

0.14

Sortino Ratio

3.31

Max Drawdown

2761.2%

ROI

5.9%

Profit Factor

4.10

Kelly Fraction

0.547

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?	BUY	69.0¢	1,449.222	Jan 14
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	BUY	31.3¢	159.797	Jan 9
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	BUY	99.8¢	11,022.044	Jan 1
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?	SELL	84.0¢	446.96	Dec 29
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	SELL	22.7¢	279.67	Dec 25
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	SELL	99.9¢	27.48	Dec 23
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	BUY	3.1¢	161.29	Dec 23
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)	BUY	36.4¢	27.486	Dec 23
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?	BUY	99.7¢	9,929.789	Dec 23
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?	BUY	12.0¢	500	Dec 22
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?	SELL	99.6¢	10,015.31	Dec 22
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor	BUY	85.7¢	144.691	Dec 20
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	SELL	38.9¢	319.48	Dec 20
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor	BUY	85.6¢	601.689	Dec 20
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor	BUY	85.7¢	116.741	Dec 20
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?	BUY	99.0¢	10,015.313	Dec 19
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?	BUY	31.3¢	319.489	Dec 19
Will Steve Harrington die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	BUY	17.9¢	279.674	Dec 18
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?	BUY	73.0¢	136.986	Dec 16
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?	BUY	47.0¢	85.106	Dec 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.0%

Win Consistency42.6%

Profit Factor1.14

Drawdown Resilience0.92

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92

Weekly Sharpe est.0.70

Trading Activity155 trades · 66 active days

P&L Calendar

$191,76414d profit52d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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