0xa49653...1e0f2a

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.0%

Total P&L

+$2.4K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.02

Sortino Ratio

-0.02

Max Drawdown

2704.3%

ROI

3.1%

Profit Factor

2.38

Kelly Fraction

0.406

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	96.3¢	2,685	Feb 25
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	96.4¢	11,725.26	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	100	Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	2,000	Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	12,300	Feb 20
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.9¢	11,203	Jan 28
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	BUY	99.2¢	1,111.5	Jan 25
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	BUY	99.2¢	359.85	Jan 25
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	BUY	99.2¢	119.694	Jan 25
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	BUY	99.2¢	80.944	Jan 25
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?	BUY	99.2¢	499.151	Jan 25
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	SELL	82.0¢	3,279	Jan 20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	BUY	83.0¢	792	Jan 9
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	BUY	86.0¢	2,487	Jan 7
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	74.0¢	3,903	Dec 18
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	76.0¢	7,300	Dec 15
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	99.8¢	3,353	Dec 10
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	99.9¢	5,018.01	Dec 9
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.7¢	3,016	Nov 30
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	2,002.01	Nov 15

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.9%

Win Consistency52.4%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity21 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$27,6014d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue