0xa4a706...fdd389

Smart Score

Win Rate

44.8%

Total P&L

-$185

Trade Count

462

Sharpe Ratio

0.72

Sortino Ratio

6.13

Max Drawdown

69.0%

ROI

-3.5%

Profit Factor

0.93

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?	SELL	21.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?	BUY	34.0¢	28	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?	BUY	71.0¢	14.592	Mar 4
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $400?	BUY	70.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	20.0¢	6.863	Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?	BUY	67.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?	BUY	67.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	5.41	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	1.951	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	9.3	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?	SELL	37.0¢	21	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?	SELL	37.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?	SELL	37.0¢	32	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?	SELL	37.0¢	32	Mar 4
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 75% by March 31?	SELL	96.3¢	13	Mar 4
Will Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?	SELL	98.7¢	8	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 2-8?	SELL	37.0¢	13	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on March 5?	BUY	0.6¢	100	Mar 4
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	47.0¢	24	Mar 3
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?	SELL	53.0¢	10	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)38.0%

Win Consistency52.3%

Profit Factor1.09

Drawdown Resilience0.88

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.88

Weekly Sharpe est.0.67

Trading Activity462 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1268d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue