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0xa4fbc1...64427e

0xa4fbc1...64427e
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
73.8%
Total P&L
-$6
Trade Count
454
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26
Sortino Ratio
-0.45
Max Drawdown
466.8%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
2.98
Kelly Fraction
0.491
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?SELL97.5¢39.07Mar 5
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?BUY97.5¢39.07Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?SELL98.1¢39.29Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?BUY98.0¢39.29Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.9¢42.53Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢1.93Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢10.41Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢9.37Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢8.32Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢6.25Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢6.25Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?SELL95.7¢32.36Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY95.7¢32.35Mar 3
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL91.2¢37.35Mar 3
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY91.5¢37.35Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL96.2¢31.14Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢31.14Mar 2
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL97.7¢37.97Mar 1
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY97.8¢37.97Mar 1
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL96.8¢33.39Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.21
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.0%
Win Consistency33.6%
Profit Factor0.57
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity454 trades · 33 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1010d profit23d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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