0xa5208c...f79719

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.5%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

2,049

Sharpe Ratio

0.52

Sortino Ratio

53.63

Max Drawdown

8511.3%

ROI

-2.1%

Profit Factor

0.94

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	3.0¢	0.51	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	21.3¢	0.61	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	6.3¢	17.388	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.4¢	0.81	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.4¢	78.571	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	550	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	84.6¢	1.29	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	84.8¢	1.297	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.6¢	68.75	Mar 3
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?	SELL	87.0¢	2.37	Mar 3
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?	SELL	87.0¢	0.02	Mar 3
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-03?	BUY	79.0¢	2.532	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	0.24	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	0.49	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	7.59	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	3.6¢	30.556	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	6.27	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	1.32	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	0.55	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	98.9¢	0.84	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.4%

Win Consistency24.8%

Profit Factor0.58

Drawdown Resilience0.47

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity2,049 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$732d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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