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0xa535a9...40a220

0xa535a9...40a220
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
67.8%
Total P&L
-$129
Trade Count
588
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Sortino Ratio
-0.20
Max Drawdown
199.0%
ROI
-7.3%
Profit Factor
0.50
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY63.0¢3.175Mar 5
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL80.0¢2.29Mar 5
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchBUY86.0¢1.163Mar 5
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?BUY87.0¢2.299Mar 5
Nothing Ever Happens: MarchBUY86.0¢2.326Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY19.2¢5.208Mar 2
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY80.0¢1.25Mar 2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY90.5¢1.105Mar 2
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY80.0¢1.25Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY42.0¢11.905Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY37.8¢2.646Mar 1
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY47.9¢8.351Mar 1
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY7.0¢14.286Mar 1
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY5.7¢17.497Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY75.9¢6.588Mar 1
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.0¢100Feb 27
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.0¢100Feb 27
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.2¢83.333Feb 27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?SELL35.0¢20Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY47.0¢4.255Feb 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%4%20–30%9%30–50%17%50–70%9%70–80%18%80–90%35%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency59.5%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity561 trades · 124 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$81227d profit97d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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