0xa538b5...49d3b0

0xa538b5...49d3b0
Smart Score
1
Win Rate
17.9%
Total P&L
+$206
Trade Count
62
Sharpe Ratio
-1.68
Sortino Ratio
-1.71
Max Drawdown
356802.2%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
3.29
Kelly Fraction
0.124
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
01.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY99.0¢1,618.71Mar 5
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.6¢1,977.54Mar 5
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.7¢1,977.54Mar 4
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL99.4¢2,024.78Mar 4
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY99.5¢2,024.78Mar 4
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.6¢1,344.28Mar 4
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.7¢1,344.28Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY99.8¢115.02Mar 3
Predators vs. Blue JacketsBUY55.0¢265.32Mar 3
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.6¢1,674.74Mar 3
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.7¢1,674.74Mar 3
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-03?BUY62.0¢213.06Mar 3
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.6¢1,541.76Mar 2
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.7¢1,541.76Mar 2
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢911.42Mar 1
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢789Mar 1
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢7Mar 1
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢59.91Mar 1
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?BUY50.0¢181.26Mar 1
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢1,767.33Mar 1
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%12%50–70%6%70–80%80–90%79%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing1.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.2%
Win Consistency10.3%
Profit Factor0.03
Drawdown Resilience0.03
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03
Weekly Sharpe est.0.02
Trading Activity62 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,1871d profit17d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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