0xa58095...8d2abf

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.0%

Total P&L

+$467

Trade Count

363

Sharpe Ratio

1.66

Sortino Ratio

24.05

Max Drawdown

779.0%

ROI

17.4%

Profit Factor

2.27

Kelly Fraction

0.201

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	BUY	4.0¢	25	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	BUY	7.0¢	14.286	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	BUY	18.0¢	11.111	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	BUY	15.0¢	13.333	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	8.39	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	BUY	46.9¢	8.528	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BUY	2.3¢	43.478	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	9.6¢	52.252	Mar 5
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	50.0¢	20.56	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	BUY	14.0¢	78.571	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	10.38	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	BUY	38.0¢	10.526	Feb 27
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	1.1¢	416.66	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	BUY	55.0¢	10.909	Feb 24
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	SELL	41.0¢	15	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	BUY	9.0¢	122.603	Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	BUY	31.0¢	6.452	Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	BUY	36.6¢	41.66	Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	BUY	36.0¢	5.556	Feb 23

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.15

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.5%

Win Consistency77.4%

Profit Factor1.01

Drawdown Resilience0.82

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity363 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$3674d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue