0xa5ae24...3cbe02

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.9%

Total P&L

-$64

Trade Count

309

Sharpe Ratio

-0.59

Sortino Ratio

-0.71

Max Drawdown

847.9%

ROI

-2.2%

Profit Factor

0.04

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?	SELL	34.0¢	1.35	Mar 5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	13.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?	SELL	64.1¢	20	Mar 5
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	SELL	85.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Gagan Kumar Thapa be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?	BUY	86.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	13.0¢	50	Mar 5
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?	BUY	34.0¢	1.352	Mar 5
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?	BUY	71.3¢	20	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?	SELL	3.1¢	20	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?	SELL	96.5¢	20	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?	BUY	3.0¢	20	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 31?	BUY	96.6¢	20	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	SELL	9.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	SELL	14.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	13.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran strike nine or more countries in March?	BUY	16.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	16.0¢	20	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	SELL	89.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	14.7¢	100	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	BUY	90.0¢	20	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency41.3%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity309 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$720d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue