0xa5bcdd...f310ad

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.4%

Total P&L

+$720

Trade Count

179

Sharpe Ratio

5.59

Sortino Ratio

21.95

Max Drawdown

32.5%

ROI

9.4%

Profit Factor

12.04

Kelly Fraction

0.655

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

081/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.9¢	59	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	37.9¢	42.216	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	14.5¢	6.897	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	14.5¢	6.65	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	14.5¢	186.45	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	29.0¢	7.103	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	29.0¢	3.448	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	29.0¢	68.966	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	20.0¢	400	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	19.4¢	78.17	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	19.4¢	21.83	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	19.9¢	100	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	15.5¢	200	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	22.8¢	100	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	25.1¢	100	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	35.0¢	200	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	29.0¢	100	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	29.8¢	100	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	27.6¢	100	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	41.0¢	52.48	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro81

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)73.7%

Win Consistency44.4%

Profit Factor2.11

Drawdown Resilience1.70

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.70

Weekly Sharpe est.1.30

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue