0xa608c8...37248b

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.5%

Total P&L

+$202

Trade Count

158

Sharpe Ratio

3.03

Sortino Ratio

12.93

Max Drawdown

79.7%

ROI

11.7%

Profit Factor

0.86

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

052.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	34.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	22.0¢	10	Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	42.0¢	11	Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	47.0¢	5	Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	SELL	65.0¢	8.49	Mar 5
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	33.0¢	10	Mar 5
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	SELL	32.0¢	20	Mar 4
Kurds declare independence from Iran?	BUY	31.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.1¢	30	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	20	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	12.0¢	20	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	23.0¢	10	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	47.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March?	SELL	14.0¢	200	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	75.0¢	10	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	61.0¢	10	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	29.0¢	2.76	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	SELL	29.0¢	17.24	Mar 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	BUY	23.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	20	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing52.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.90

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.0%

Win Consistency53.5%

Profit Factor1.37

Drawdown Resilience1.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.84

Trading Activity158 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$1154d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue