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0xa64597...d52d08

0xa64597...d52d08
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
77.8%
Total P&L
-$123
Trade Count
28
Sharpe Ratio
0.54
Sortino Ratio
9.83
Max Drawdown
57.4%
ROI
-7.1%
Profit Factor
0.02
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Jazz vs. WizardsBUY54.0¢213.889Mar 5
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY86.0¢80Jan 7
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?SELL98.3¢75.64Dec 21
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?BUY93.9¢75.644Dec 16
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY95.0¢71.032Dec 9
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL73.0¢92.44Dec 6
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY69.0¢92.449Nov 30
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL62.0¢100Nov 18
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY75.0¢100Nov 16
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL80.0¢90Nov 11
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY78.0¢90Nov 4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL15.0¢400Nov 3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY17.0¢400Oct 24
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL71.5¢112.99Oct 23
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY86.5¢78.75Oct 23
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY86.5¢34.246Oct 23
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL92.0¢108.64Oct 23
Meteora FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY98.0¢108.643Oct 22
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?SELL79.0¢130Oct 14
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?BUY74.0¢130Oct 13

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%5%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%15%70–80%50%80–90%15%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.7%
Win Consistency80.0%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity20 trades · 17 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2817d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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