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0xa64db2...3cfd42

0xa64db2...3cfd42
Smart Score
55
Win Rate
80.0%
Total P&L
-$5
Trade Count
70
Sharpe Ratio
5.05
Sortino Ratio
45.44
Max Drawdown
49.0%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
0.95
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
054.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL5.6¢100Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL5.6¢1,732Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY5.7¢149.44Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY5.7¢1,682.56Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.6¢445.5Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.6¢1,256.5Mar 4
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.4¢1,702Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.4¢1,045Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.4¢658Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.3¢1,703Mar 4
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL98.4¢233Mar 3
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY98.4¢233Mar 3
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.7¢37Mar 3
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.6¢34Mar 3
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.8¢1,657.94Mar 3
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.7¢1,729Mar 3
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.7¢1,828Mar 2
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.6¢1,828Mar 2
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.9¢1,858Mar 2
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.9¢1,858Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%32%< 10%10–20%6%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%61%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing54.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.01
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)49.9%
Win Consistency70.6%
Profit Factor1.42
Drawdown Resilience1.15
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.15
Weekly Sharpe est.0.88
Trading Activity70 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$66d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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