0xa65309...7f6fbd

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.5%

Total P&L

-$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.59

Sortino Ratio

-1.23

Max Drawdown

697.9%

ROI

-7.9%

Profit Factor

0.09

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	96.3¢	1.038	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	1.11	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	1.02	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	1.62	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	96.8¢	1.033	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	92.7¢	1.079	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	1.79	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	87.2¢	1.628	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	86.6¢	1.64	Mar 4
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	66.7¢	2.159	Mar 3
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	66.6¢	2.15	Mar 3
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	53.0¢	2.679	Mar 3
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	51.0¢	2.77	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	73.4¢	1.06	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	1.793	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	1.016	Mar 3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	SELL	41.0¢	5.4	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	1.028	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	1.07	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	1.02	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency63.6%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity81 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$313d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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