0xa660e6...e92b9d

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.6%

Total P&L

+$14.8K

Trade Count

170

Sharpe Ratio

-0.73

Sortino Ratio

-0.86

Max Drawdown

104.1%

ROI

36.4%

Profit Factor

1672.39

Kelly Fraction

0.806

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	19	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	14.0¢	1	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	12.0¢	1	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	20.0¢	10	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.4¢	258.3	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.4¢	141.7	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	0.37	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	88	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	1.977	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	1.442	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	8.198	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	84.6¢	30	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?	SELL	95.6¢	9	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?	BUY	86.0¢	9	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	97.9¢	400	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	67.5¢	9.5	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	84.0¢	70	Mar 4
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	0.1¢	3,000	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	0.1¢	995.3	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	0.1¢	1.471	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.2%

Win Consistency64.7%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.84

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Trading Activity170 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$27,4214d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue