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0xa721fc...bacb47

0xa721fc...bacb47
Smart Score
48
Win Rate
56.5%
Total P&L
+$54
Trade Count
62
Sharpe Ratio
2.45
Sortino Ratio
12.42
Max Drawdown
512.2%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
7.32
Kelly Fraction
0.488
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
048/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢5.107Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL84.0¢3.44Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL84.0¢2.503Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢5.952Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.8¢7.59Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢7.54Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.8¢7.543Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢7.071Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢14.71Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY68.0¢14.706Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY79.0¢7.595Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10PM ETBUY99.8¢5.01Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1PM ETBUY99.8¢5.01Mar 3
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL66.0¢10.44Mar 3
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY67.0¢10.448Mar 2
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.5¢8.35Mar 2
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY95.7¢8.359Mar 2
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.0¢1.67Mar 2
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.0¢7.692Mar 2
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.0¢0.516Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%15%10–20%20–30%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%28%80–90%49%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing48

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.64
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.7%
Win Consistency33.3%
Profit Factor1.25
Drawdown Resilience1.01
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.01
Weekly Sharpe est.0.77
Trading Activity62 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3771d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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