0xa734dd...b5c7a9

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.3%

Total P&L

-$11

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Sortino Ratio

5.12

Max Drawdown

261.9%

ROI

-9.4%

Profit Factor

0.64

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	3.571	Mar 5
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?	BUY	51.0¢	1.961	Mar 5
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?	BUY	79.0¢	1.266	Mar 5
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	BUY	32.0¢	3.125	Mar 5
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?	BUY	58.0¢	1.724	Mar 5
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?	BUY	8.0¢	12.5	Feb 9
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	2.222	Feb 9
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	2.564	Feb 9
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Feb 9
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Jan 9
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?	BUY	33.0¢	3.03	Jan 9
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Jan 9
XRP Up or Down - January 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	BUY	25.0¢	4	Jan 9
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	SELL	33.0¢	7.66	Jan 9
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	BUY	13.0¢	7.692	Jan 9
Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Jan 9
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	100	Jan 9
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 4AM ET	BUY	8.0¢	12.5	Jan 9
Solana Up or Down - January 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Jan 8

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.17

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.3%

Win Consistency46.9%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity27 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

+$11d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue