0xa73f41...2d6523

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.1%

Total P&L

+$57

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.52

Sortino Ratio

5.53

Max Drawdown

44.2%

ROI

12.8%

Profit Factor

7.67

Kelly Fraction

0.497

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

077.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	52.0¢	19.04	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	19.04	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	17.54	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	17.54	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.4¢	16.55	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.6¢	15.72	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	36.0¢	27.39	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	36.0¢	27.39	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	36.0¢	27.39	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	33.4¢	29.94	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	52.0¢	19.41	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	44.4¢	18.01	Mar 4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	30.0¢	27.11	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	49.6¢	16.12	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	58.0¢	32.11	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	58.0¢	13.67	Mar 3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?	BUY	52.0¢	15.23	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	17.2	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	47.0¢	16.49	Mar 3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?	BUY	54.0¢	14.95	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro77.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)70.6%

Win Consistency69.2%

Profit Factor2.02

Drawdown Resilience1.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.63

Weekly Sharpe est.1.24

Trading Activity55 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$3940d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue