0xa74425...ff3155

0xa74425...ff3155
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
88.4%
Total P&L
+$6
Trade Count
123
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Sortino Ratio
0.49
Max Drawdown
865.9%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
4.59
Kelly Fraction
0.691
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
037.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.5¢4.931Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL41.9¢11.25Feb 27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY43.8¢11.256Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL71.9¢3.7Feb 18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY76.3¢3.709Feb 11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?SELL68.0¢5.84Feb 3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?BUY67.4¢5.846Jan 27
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL98.3¢8.64Jan 23
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY95.5¢8.649Jan 16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?SELL94.9¢6.24Jan 13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY96.9¢6.244Jan 6
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?SELL98.2¢1.37Dec 26
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?BUY96.5¢1.378Dec 19
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?BUY98.3¢7.243Dec 12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?SELL94.9¢5.69Dec 8
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY89.4¢5.694Dec 1
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?SELL94.9¢6.99Nov 24
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?BUY96.4¢6.992Nov 17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?SELL97.6¢7.64Nov 12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY97.3¢7.646Nov 5
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.05
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.9%
Win Consistency66.7%
Profit Factor0.97
Drawdown Resilience0.78
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Trading Activity57 trades · 56 active days
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