0xa766ac...0bfcc8

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.3%

Total P&L

+$624

Trade Count

380

Sharpe Ratio

-1.34

Sortino Ratio

-1.80

Max Drawdown

6645.5%

ROI

5.3%

Profit Factor

5.37

Kelly Fraction

0.531

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	2.7¢	90	Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	90	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	95.2¢	40	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	4.9¢	40	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	97.5¢	50	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	97.8¢	50	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?	BUY	99.0¢	110	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?	BUY	1.1¢	110	Mar 5
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	98.6¢	90	Mar 5
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	1.5¢	90	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	96.5¢	30	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	96.6¢	30	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	2.9¢	90	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?	BUY	97.2¢	90	Mar 5
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.1¢	90	Mar 5
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	2.0¢	90	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	96.9¢	50	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	3.2¢	50	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	97.6¢	100	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	2.5¢	100	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.1%

Win Consistency41.7%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity380 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,5920d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue