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0xa7b5bf...66fa78

0xa7b5bf...66fa78
Smart Score
8
Win Rate
42.1%
Total P&L
-$4.4K
Trade Count
1,792
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Sortino Ratio
0.38
Max Drawdown
200.0%
ROI
-8.0%
Profit Factor
0.75
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
08.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.8¢27,000Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.8¢1,200Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.8¢10,000Mar 5
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢21.27Mar 5
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢790Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY13.0¢800Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢12.7Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢79.2Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢16Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢1,437.8Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢23.9Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢37.2Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢165.61Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY12.0¢500Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢1,071.969Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢40.19Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢32.87Mar 4
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000 voters?BUY33.7¢29.634Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢762.265Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢42.75Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%82%< 10%6%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing8.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.5%
Win Consistency42.0%
Profit Factor0.21
Drawdown Resilience0.17
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17
Weekly Sharpe est.0.13
Trading Activity1,792 trades · 21 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$38,7082d profit19d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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