0xa7cc00...d7644e

0xa7cc00...d7644e
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
72.3%
Total P&L
+$2.0K
Trade Count
985
Sharpe Ratio
-0.29
Sortino Ratio
-0.42
Max Drawdown
861.2%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
1.06
Kelly Fraction
0.043
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
014.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?BUY96.1¢2,000Feb 26
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY96.8¢150Feb 25
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY98.9¢370.53Feb 25
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY98.9¢129.47Feb 25
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY82.0¢300Feb 25
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY82.0¢0.45Feb 25
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢300Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢28.33Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢12.47Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢212.62Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢9.39Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢4.312Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢80Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢2.151Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢150Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢3.226Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢10Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢100Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢10.75Feb 21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY7.0¢23.95Feb 21
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%8%10–20%17%20–30%11%30–50%8%50–70%16%70–80%5%80–90%25%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.78
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.9%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.37
Drawdown Resilience0.30
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30
Weekly Sharpe est.0.23
Trading Activity985 trades · 35 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$155,7515d profit30d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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