0xa7fea3...911f3e

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.0%

Total P&L

-$1.4K

Trade Count

2,365

Sharpe Ratio

0.33

Sortino Ratio

27.20

Max Drawdown

1262.4%

ROI

-1.4%

Profit Factor

0.26

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	2.7¢	100	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	8.0¢	138.22	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	45.0¢	20	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	43.0¢	29.99	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	35.0¢	30	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	75.08	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	13.1¢	74.24	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	66.5¢	50	Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	SELL	0.9¢	100	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	20	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	BUY	15.0¢	120	Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	11.8¢	70	Mar 4
Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "Trump RX" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	SELL	99.0¢	20	Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	44.1¢	112.84	Mar 4
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?	SELL	4.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	11.9¢	46.3	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?	SELL	99.2¢	50	Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	BUY	3.1¢	95.01	Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	BUY	3.1¢	4.99	Mar 4
Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "Trump RX" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	64.0¢	20	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.0%

Win Consistency48.4%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity2,365 trades · 84 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,78034d profit50d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue