0xa8638d...578599

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.6%

Total P&L

+$85

Trade Count

1,070

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Sortino Ratio

0.45

Max Drawdown

140.7%

ROI

2.3%

Profit Factor

4.78

Kelly Fraction

0.558

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	92.0¢	1.73	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	82.8¢	73.847	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	83.0¢	16.627	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	72.1¢	1.01	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	76.4¢	2.69	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	73.6¢	2.33	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	79.5¢	4.67	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	80.0¢	8.938	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	78.8¢	3.528	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	1.712	Mar 5
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.7¢	1.055	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.7¢	1.055	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.7¢	1.055	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.7¢	1.055	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.7¢	1.055	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.7¢	1.139	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.7¢	1.055	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.7¢	1.055	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.7¢	1.055	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	95.7¢	1.055	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.97

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.6%

Win Consistency65.4%

Profit Factor0.93

Drawdown Resilience0.75

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity1,070 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$3465d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue