0xa86de1...121c65

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.8%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

521

Sharpe Ratio

-1.64

Sortino Ratio

-1.55

Max Drawdown

8313.9%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

2.55

Kelly Fraction

0.539

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	7.172	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	6.38	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.6¢	6.342	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	5.051	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	9.3	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.8¢	9.298	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.5¢	7.23	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.8¢	7.231	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.7¢	5.015	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	10.2	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	97.0¢	10.29	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	97.2¢	10.288	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	10.31	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.9¢	10.32	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	91.6¢	9.81	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	91.7¢	9.815	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	98.8¢	5.061	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.4¢	9.22	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	9.221	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	7.23	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%

Win Consistency42.0%

Profit Factor0.53

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity521 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$5238d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue