0xa8c3ba...a97dd2

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.1%

Total P&L

-$7.4K

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

-0.18

Sortino Ratio

-0.53

Max Drawdown

1191.2%

ROI

-5.4%

Profit Factor

0.22

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	75.0¢	6.17	Mar 5
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	75.0¢	4.9	Mar 5
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	75.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	75.0¢	4.09	Mar 5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	SELL	81.0¢	6.48	Mar 5
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.5¢	14.91	Mar 5
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.5¢	38.82	Mar 5
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.5¢	15.81	Mar 5
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?	SELL	26.8¢	201.62	Mar 5
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	2.4¢	51	Mar 5
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	SELL	85.1¢	97.23	Mar 5
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.7¢	42.86	Mar 4
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	17.6	Mar 4
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.8¢	25.9	Mar 4
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?	BUY	82.0¢	20.05	Mar 4
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	66.03	Mar 4
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	31.2	Mar 4
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	4.8¢	25.57	Mar 4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	SELL	81.0¢	14.35	Mar 4
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	SELL	24.0¢	32.6	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency41.3%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 97 active days

P&L Calendar

$12,82136d profit61d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue