0xa90157...af00e7

Smart Score

Win Rate

77.8%

Total P&L

-$18

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.50

Sortino Ratio

-1.24

Max Drawdown

38.9%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

-0.69

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Solana dip to $20 in March?	BUY	99.4¢	54	Mar 5
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	99.8¢	721.8	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?	SELL	98.8¢	59	Mar 5
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	59	Mar 5
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.7¢	654	Mar 5
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	59	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?	BUY	98.9¢	59	Mar 5
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.8¢	654	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	SELL	97.5¢	25	Feb 18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.4¢	700	Feb 18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.6¢	25	Feb 18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	700	Feb 18
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?	SELL	96.8¢	30.54	Feb 18
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?	SELL	97.1¢	100	Feb 18
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?	SELL	99.0¢	119.67	Feb 18
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?	SELL	99.1¢	174.12	Feb 18
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?	SELL	99.4¢	101.47	Feb 18
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?	SELL	99.5¢	152.2	Feb 18
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?	SELL	99.2¢	38	Feb 18
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?	BUY	99.7¢	678	Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.91

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.1%

Win Consistency28.0%

Profit Factor0.43

Drawdown Resilience0.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35

Weekly Sharpe est.0.27

Trading Activity52 trades · 7 active days

P&L Calendar

$7911d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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