0xa92007...48cae6

0xa92007...48cae6
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
95.9%
Total P&L
+$13
Trade Count
277
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Sortino Ratio
0.02
Max Drawdown
300.0%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
49.45
Kelly Fraction
0.940
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
033.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.9¢42.98Mar 5
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.0¢42.98Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL98.4¢42.77Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.7¢42.76Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL94.1¢47.78Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY94.3¢47.78Mar 4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL97.1¢36.61Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.2¢36.62Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL94.9¢49.94Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY95.0¢49.94Mar 3
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL96.4¢7.6Feb 12
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.9¢41.01Feb 12
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY96.5¢7.6Feb 12
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.1¢41.01Feb 12
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL94.0¢48.04Feb 12
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY94.1¢48.04Feb 12
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?SELL97.8¢44.37Feb 12
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY97.9¢44.37Feb 12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL94.2¢49.15Feb 12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY94.4¢49.15Feb 12
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.85
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.6%
Win Consistency36.9%
Profit Factor0.87
Drawdown Resilience0.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71
Weekly Sharpe est.0.54
Trading Activity277 trades · 28 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$215d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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