0xa9660d...401092

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.1%

Total P&L

+$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

5.69

Sortino Ratio

7781.54

Max Drawdown

3.7%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

32.90

Kelly Fraction

0.554

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

075.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.0¢	36	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	9	Mar 5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	45	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	9	Mar 5
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.8¢	45	Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	53	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.7¢	123	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.4¢	38	Mar 5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	95.9¢	53	Feb 26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.3¢	33	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	72	Feb 25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.3¢	50	Feb 25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.6¢	38	Feb 24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.9¢	40	Feb 24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	70	Feb 24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	30	Feb 24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	40	Feb 23

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro75.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.17

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)69.0%

Win Consistency57.1%

Profit Factor1.97

Drawdown Resilience1.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.59

Weekly Sharpe est.1.21

Trading Activity17 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$1031d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue