0xa96c14...3dd1c7

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.0%

Total P&L

+$26.5K

Trade Count

908

Sharpe Ratio

0.66

Sortino Ratio

1.10

Max Drawdown

79.3%

ROI

4.7%

Profit Factor

4.49

Kelly Fraction

0.645

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

057.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.0¢	22.4	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.0¢	1,525.94	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.0¢	80	Mar 4
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	BUY	23.2¢	355.37	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.0¢	9	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.0¢	50	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.0¢	80	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.0¢	20.9	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	98.0¢	1,158.61	Mar 4
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?	BUY	86.9¢	369.92	Mar 4
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?	BUY	97.7¢	2,304.7	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	94.0¢	3,982.19	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	94.0¢	2,000	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	94.0¢	26.32	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	94.0¢	130	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	94.0¢	16.667	Mar 4
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?	BUY	85.0¢	6.8	Mar 4
Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?	BUY	85.0¢	13.39	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	94.0¢	60	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?	BUY	94.0¢	20	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active57.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)52.7%

Win Consistency77.2%

Profit Factor1.51

Drawdown Resilience1.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.93

Trading Activity908 trades · 67 active days

P&L Calendar

$330,18718d profit48d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue