0xa98875...e79664

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.9%

Total P&L

-$29

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.30

Sortino Ratio

-0.16

Max Drawdown

196.0%

ROI

-0.6%

Profit Factor

-0.66

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

01.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	191.18	Mar 5
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.8¢	191.184	Mar 5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	24.691	Jan 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6?	BUY	99.4¢	25.151	Nov 6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?	SELL	99.1¢	5.03	Nov 6
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?	SELL	97.3¢	101.93	Nov 6
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	98.0¢	326.53	Nov 6
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	SELL	94.0¢	119.79	Nov 6
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	BUY	96.0¢	119.792	Nov 6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?	BUY	99.3¢	5.035	Nov 6
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.0¢	326.531	Nov 6
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?	BUY	98.1¢	101.937	Nov 6
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?	SELL	94.0¢	549.47	Nov 5
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?	BUY	95.0¢	549.474	Nov 5
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	SELL	84.0¢	211.76	Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?	SELL	91.4¢	400.43	Nov 4
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	BUY	85.0¢	211.765	Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?	BUY	92.4¢	400.433	Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	SELL	91.7¢	558.59	Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	BUY	91.3¢	558.598	Nov 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing1.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)1.3%

Win Consistency75.0%

Profit Factor0.04

Drawdown Resilience0.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.02

Trading Activity21 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$780d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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