0xaa088b...a78a43

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.2%

Total P&L

+$16

Trade Count

449

Sharpe Ratio

-1.51

Sortino Ratio

-1.56

Max Drawdown

4257.8%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

3.54

Kelly Fraction

0.483

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	8.74	Mar 5
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	8.734	Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	BUY	52.0¢	17.308	Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.6¢	7.3	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	61.0¢	9.67	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	8.25	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	10.31	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	17.31	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	9.677	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	78.6¢	8.16	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	8.2	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	8.163	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	8.197	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.7¢	6.23	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.8¢	6.198	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	9.84	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	9.825	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.7¢	6.46	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.9¢	6.459	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	7.071	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%

Win Consistency47.1%

Profit Factor0.53

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity449 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$47511d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue