0xaa135c...cf9c9a

Smart Score

Win Rate

22.1%

Total P&L

-$185

Trade Count

126

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

1.83

Max Drawdown

814.8%

ROI

-4.8%

Profit Factor

0.80

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	SELL	89.6¢	10.64	Mar 5
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?	BUY	61.6¢	13.63	Mar 3
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?	BUY	86.4¢	10.644	Mar 3
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?	BUY	27.0¢	39.259	Mar 3
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	81.9¢	14.768	Mar 3
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	13.82	Mar 3
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?	BUY	39.0¢	34.103	Mar 3
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	BUY	51.0¢	27.647	Mar 3
No one announced as next James Bond?	BUY	54.0¢	31.667	Mar 3
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	21.975	Mar 3
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	BUY	36.3¢	51.579	Mar 3
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	21.25	Mar 3
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	BUY	42.9¢	45.733	Mar 3
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	26.849	Mar 3
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	21.778	Mar 3
Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?	BUY	9.6¢	207.506	Feb 18
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?	BUY	37.0¢	54.054	Feb 18
Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	15.0¢	133.333	Feb 18
Will Intuit (INTU) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	16.0¢	125	Feb 18
Will Paramount Skydance (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	34.2¢	58.547	Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.5%

Win Consistency27.3%

Profit Factor0.33

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity112 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

+$1221d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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