0xaa3b27...a11e2e

Smart Score

Win Rate

40.0%

Total P&L

+$3.3K

Trade Count

264

Sharpe Ratio

-2.17

Sortino Ratio

-3.21

Max Drawdown

659.8%

ROI

1.7%

Profit Factor

26.09

Kelly Fraction

0.385

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	88.5¢	2,142.08	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	SELL	98.3¢	1,929.54	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	87.0¢	646.678	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	85.3¢	659.57	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	3,859.092	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	3,854.67	Mar 5
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	BUY	4.9¢	4,045.746	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.0¢	200	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	53.0¢	868.132	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	SELL	65.0¢	707.85	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	53.9¢	918.831	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	590	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.9¢	1,249.571	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	40.4¢	2,592	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	70.0¢	707.857	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.1¢	500	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	1,600	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.2¢	500	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	30.0¢	992	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	99.2¢	300	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.6%

Win Consistency40.4%

Profit Factor0.62

Drawdown Resilience0.50

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50

Weekly Sharpe est.0.38

Trading Activity262 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,5524d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue