0xaa501f...5a3ed5

Smart Score

Win Rate

8.4%

Total P&L

+$2.5K

Trade Count

3,096

Sharpe Ratio

-0.00

Sortino Ratio

-0.02

Max Drawdown

493826.2%

ROI

5.7%

Profit Factor

1.17

Kelly Fraction

0.012

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	1.6¢	378.484	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	0.9¢	457.127	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	78.947	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	0.5¢	801	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	0.6¢	500	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	0.8¢	375	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	3.7¢	270.671	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	9.3¢	107.238	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	3.4¢	47.941	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	52.5	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	50.25	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	26.316	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	0.6¢	342.237	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	52.632	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	BUY	1.9¢	104.5	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	2.4¢	83.333	Feb 25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	2.4¢	83.333	Feb 25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	2.3¢	86.25	Feb 25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	2.3¢	86.957	Feb 25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	7.0¢	28.714	Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.8%

Win Consistency21.4%

Profit Factor0.20

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity2,865 trades · 193 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,68225d profit167d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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