0xaa9f65...1f0df3

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.8%

Total P&L

+$231

Trade Count

3,892

Sharpe Ratio

0.62

Sortino Ratio

6.48

Max Drawdown

159.5%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

1.07

Kelly Fraction

0.020

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	21.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	55.0¢	19.96	Mar 5
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	55.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	55.0¢	7.28	Mar 5
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	55.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	55.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	55.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	55.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	55.0¢	2.12	Mar 5
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	SELL	75.0¢	10.09	Mar 5
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	64.0¢	31.267	Mar 5
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	BUY	38.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	71.0¢	35.43	Mar 4
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	33.0¢	7.81	Mar 4
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	33.0¢	8.87	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	48.5¢	59.55	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	48.1¢	202.47	Mar 4
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	SELL	5.4¢	18.519	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	52.9¢	10	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	52.9¢	27.977	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.33

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.0%

Win Consistency51.4%

Profit Factor0.63

Drawdown Resilience0.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.51

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity3,892 trades · 161 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,36369d profit92d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue