0xaab10c...4bd8f4

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.4%

Total P&L

-$206

Trade Count

326

Sharpe Ratio

-0.28

Sortino Ratio

-0.34

Max Drawdown

23894.7%

ROI

-9.9%

Profit Factor

0.53

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	94.5¢	7.513	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	94.5¢	6.317	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	94.5¢	6.317	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	94.2¢	6.338	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	6.36	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	13.144	Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	6.611	Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	6.611	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	48.56	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	37.0¢	48.568	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	SELL	97.2¢	19.37	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	BUY	96.3¢	19.377	Feb 23
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	5.59	Feb 23
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	88.0¢	2.23	Feb 23
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	SELL	54.0¢	2.23	Feb 23
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	89.0¢	1.12	Feb 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.2%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor0.12

Drawdown Resilience0.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity326 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$99514d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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