Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xaad99d...a6d54c

0xaad99d...a6d54c
Smart Score
59
Win Rate
57.9%
Total P&L
+$10
Trade Count
28
Sharpe Ratio
1.13
Sortino Ratio
4.29
Max Drawdown
32.6%
ROI
9.7%
Profit Factor
1.44
Kelly Fraction
0.178
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
059/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETSELL71.0¢2.99Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY65.9¢3.035Mar 5
Will Mexico’s January unemployment rate be 2.5%?BUY30.8¢8.85Feb 10
Will Mexico’s January unemployment rate be greater than or equal to 2.7%?BUY44.2¢11.309Feb 10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?SELL50.0¢5.55Feb 6
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?SELL40.0¢14.65Feb 6
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?SELL99.9¢3.57Feb 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?SELL98.0¢6.89Feb 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?SELL99.2¢6.45Feb 3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?BUY57.0¢8.772Feb 2
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?SELL53.0¢6.36Feb 2
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?BUY66.0¢1.515Feb 2
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?BUY18.0¢8.333Feb 2
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?BUY42.0¢3.571Feb 2
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 be less than 2,000,000?BUY35.0¢5.714Feb 2
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?BUY59.0¢2.542Feb 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?BUY36.0¢5.556Feb 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?BUY34.0¢5.882Feb 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?BUY36.0¢5.556Feb 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 4, 2026?BUY29.0¢6.897Feb 2

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%15%10–20%10%20–30%50%30–50%25%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active59

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.24
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.7%
Win Consistency63.2%
Profit Factor1.53
Drawdown Resilience1.24
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.24
Weekly Sharpe est.0.94
Trading Activity28 trades · 8 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$165d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics