0xaadcce...26d8ef

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.7%

Total P&L

-$2.3K

Trade Count

856

Sharpe Ratio

-0.31

Sortino Ratio

-0.67

Max Drawdown

166.1%

ROI

-2.7%

Profit Factor

0.57

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	BUY	43.0¢	105	Mar 5
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?	BUY	42.0¢	75	Mar 5
Will Trump visit China by March 31?	SELL	45.5¢	1.96	Mar 5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	SELL	12.7¢	1,518.89	Mar 5
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	SELL	10.0¢	428.18	Mar 5
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?	SELL	4.6¢	268.43	Mar 5
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?	SELL	6.0¢	486.32	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	63.0¢	28.84	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	63.0¢	23.86	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	63.0¢	32.429	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	SELL	63.0¢	77.61	Mar 5
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?	BUY	57.0¢	18.34	Mar 5
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	BUY	58.0¢	21	Mar 5
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	BUY	58.0¢	5.09	Mar 5
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	BUY	58.0¢	6.5	Mar 5
Will BP be acquired before 2027?	SELL	29.3¢	30.6	Mar 5
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	BUY	58.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	BUY	56.0¢	3.21	Mar 5
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	BUY	52.5¢	12	Mar 5
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	BUY	56.0¢	1.786	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.8%

Win Consistency44.5%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity856 trades · 53 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,22620d profit33d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue