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0xab6be6...31655f

0xab6be6...31655f
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
25.0%
Total P&L
-$2
Trade Count
41
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10
Sortino Ratio
-0.11
Max Drawdown
26.3%
ROI
-4.1%
Profit Factor
0.54
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.3¢1.23Mar 4
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.4¢1.24Mar 4
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?SELL98.5¢1.15Mar 4
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?BUY98.7¢1.155Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.9¢1.33Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.0¢1.337Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.8¢1.26Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢1.264Mar 4
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.7¢1.28Mar 4
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.8¢1.283Mar 4
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.4¢1.34Mar 4
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.6¢1.339Mar 4
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2¢1,063.33Mar 4
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3¢1,063.333Mar 4
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL99.5¢1.23Mar 1
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.6¢1.235Mar 1
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL97.5¢1.18Mar 1
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY97.9¢1.185Mar 1
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL94.7¢1.44Mar 1
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY94.8¢1.445Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10–20%20–30%8%30–50%20%50–70%8%70–80%80–90%56%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.42
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.5%
Win Consistency41.7%
Profit Factor0.67
Drawdown Resilience0.54
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54
Weekly Sharpe est.0.41
Trading Activity28 trades · 4 active days
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P&L Calendar
$10d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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