0xab808c...10af18

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.2%

Total P&L

-$55

Trade Count

217

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

0.30

Max Drawdown

12879.1%

ROI

-2.2%

Profit Factor

0.70

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	37.0¢	40	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?	SELL	12.3¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	SELL	76.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?	SELL	8.0¢	12.66	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?	BUY	15.2¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	66.0¢	15	Mar 5
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	SELL	50.0¢	50	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	70.0¢	42.72	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	SELL	56.0¢	53.43	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.9¢	90.135	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	68.0¢	50	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	52.0¢	14	Mar 4
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?	SELL	8.0¢	31.25	Mar 4
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?	SELL	9.4¢	50	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	30.0¢	12	Mar 4
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?	SELL	10.0¢	14	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	30	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	47.0¢	5	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	36.0¢	40	Mar 4
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 3% on any day in Q1?	SELL	26.0¢	113	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.57

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.4%

Win Consistency50.8%

Profit Factor0.27

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity217 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$6167d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue