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0xab877e...115f77

0xab877e...115f77
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
25.0%
Total P&L
+$3
Trade Count
25
Sharpe Ratio
2.39
Sortino Ratio
153.38
Max Drawdown
66.4%
ROI
1.8%
Profit Factor
1.05
Kelly Fraction
0.012
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
048.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY0.1¢5,000Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY15.5¢129.412Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?BUY43.3¢51.564Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?SELL31.5¢70.78Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?BUY36.5¢70.789Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 5?BUY21.0¢9.524Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 5?BUY58.3¢8.576Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?BUY32.0¢6.25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY36.0¢5.556Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY6.9¢29.168Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?BUY61.0¢6.557Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?BUY8.7¢22.989Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?BUY18.0¢11.111Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?BUY0.6¢322.196Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY3.9¢51.436Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY1.2¢169.432Mar 5
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?BUY17.0¢50.353Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 3?SELL60.0¢12.85Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 3?BUY70.0¢12.857Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 3?SELL46.4¢19.61Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%36%< 10%18%10–20%5%20–30%27%30–50%9%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing48.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.69
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.5%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor1.27
Drawdown Resilience1.03
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03
Weekly Sharpe est.0.78

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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