0xabe2d4...a33340

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

-$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

5.08

Sortino Ratio

48.49

Max Drawdown

50.0%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

0.71

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?	SELL	99.0¢	300	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?	BUY	99.0¢	300	Mar 3
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SELL	5.3¢	600	Feb 27
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	5.6¢	600	Feb 25
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.4¢	300	Feb 23
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.5¢	300	Feb 22
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	98.4¢	300	Feb 20
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	300	Feb 18
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.3¢	700	Feb 18
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.4¢	700	Feb 16
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	300	Feb 16
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	300	Feb 15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	0.8¢	800	Feb 15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.7¢	800	Feb 14

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.26

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.4%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor1.07

Drawdown Resilience0.86

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.86

Weekly Sharpe est.0.66

Trading Activity14 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$16d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue