0xabf77b...1a9e62

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.7%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.58

Sortino Ratio

4.11

Max Drawdown

43.9%

ROI

6.5%

Profit Factor

2.07

Kelly Fraction

0.215

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

048.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	19.608	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	34.0¢	29.412	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	57.3¢	17.452	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	61.0¢	8.197	Mar 2
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	45.455	Mar 2
Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?	BUY	42.0¢	11.905	Mar 2
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?	BUY	14.0¢	71.429	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	42.0¢	23.81	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	55.0¢	36.364	Mar 2
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	20.0¢	25	Mar 2
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	8.4¢	59.524	Mar 2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	BUY	21.2¢	47.155	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	30.6¢	32.645	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	42.0¢	23.81	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing48.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.3%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor1.27

Drawdown Resilience1.02

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.02

Weekly Sharpe est.0.78

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue