0xac163c...fa4f44

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.6%

Total P&L

+$5.5K

Trade Count

981

Sharpe Ratio

0.48

Sortino Ratio

70.20

Max Drawdown

71.6%

ROI

12.3%

Profit Factor

1.77

Kelly Fraction

0.289

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will "Google" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	98.9¢	29.97	Mar 4
Will "Ultra-wide" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	94.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will "Stabilization" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	96.0¢	1.146	Mar 4
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	97.0¢	9	Mar 4
Will "Performance" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	87.9¢	11.99	Mar 4
Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	95.0¢	38.92	Mar 4
Will "Apple Intelligence" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	90.0¢	49.98	Mar 4
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	97.0¢	7.14	Mar 4
Will "Microsoft" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	96.9¢	13	Mar 4
Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	95.0¢	1.053	Mar 4
Will "Apple Watch" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	97.0¢	1.031	Mar 4
Will "Most Advanced" or "Most Powerful" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	84.0¢	2.68	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Manhattan" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	40.0¢	28.333	Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will "Apple Music" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	97.0¢	2.062	Mar 4
Will Trump say "TrumpRX" or "Trump RX" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	94.0¢	10.638	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Good Friend of Mine" or "Friend of Mine" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	53.0¢	13.208	Mar 4
Will Trump say "High IQ" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	79.0¢	6.329	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Anthropic" or "Woke" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	61.0¢	8.197	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	82.0¢	14	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.09

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.1%

Win Consistency52.7%

Profit Factor1.46

Drawdown Resilience1.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.90

Trading Activity981 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$16,6623d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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