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0xac63ac...4fb27b

0xac63ac...4fb27b
Smart Score
4
Win Rate
39.1%
Total P&L
-$1.2K
Trade Count
813
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Sortino Ratio
0.01
Max Drawdown
1053.2%
ROI
-10.6%
Profit Factor
0.51
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
04.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.9¢29.8Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?SELL99.9¢10Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL50.2¢18.4Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL99.9¢500.41Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY24.4¢220Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY35.8¢50Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY35.4¢450.41Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?SELL15.7¢300Feb 16
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?BUY10.0¢300Feb 15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2PM ETBUY39.0¢5Feb 15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3PM ETBUY55.0¢13Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY2.4¢670Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY2.8¢200Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY20.0¢300Feb 15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY93.0¢6Feb 15
Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY99.8¢10Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?SELL99.8¢6.01Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?BUY99.7¢6.013Feb 15
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?SELL99.7¢167.5Feb 14
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?SELL99.7¢155Feb 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%50%< 10%26%10–20%5%20–30%4%30–50%11%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing4.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.23
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.7%
Win Consistency27.1%
Profit Factor0.11
Drawdown Resilience0.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.07
Trading Activity780 trades · 39 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,57211d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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