0xac6408...7e04a3

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$34

Trade Count

439

Sharpe Ratio

-0.74

Sortino Ratio

-1.40

Max Drawdown

1778.0%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

3.31

Kelly Fraction

0.465

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	9.193	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6AM ET	BUY	99.6¢	15.06	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	96.0¢	2.97	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	96.0¢	5.327	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	96.4¢	8.298	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	97.0¢	7.2	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	97.1¢	7.209	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	9.52	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.7¢	9.504	Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	7.18	Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	7.15	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	5.85	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	15.38	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	5.23	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	75.0¢	6.18	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	97.0¢	6.186	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	5.208	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	98.6¢	9.128	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	10.33	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.8¢	10.331	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.10

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.2%

Win Consistency41.5%

Profit Factor0.52

Drawdown Resilience0.42

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity439 trades · 36 active days

P&L Calendar

$5317d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue