0xac7b6d...912e00

Smart Score

Win Rate

9.1%

Total P&L

-$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

3.05

Sortino Ratio

99.52

Max Drawdown

14.1%

ROI

-45.3%

Profit Factor

0.18

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 5
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	8.6¢	11.628	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	BUY	12.0¢	3.18	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	BUY	12.0¢	1.82	Mar 5
Will Trump not say any listed term during the 2026 State of the Union Address?	BUY	1.0¢	106	Feb 24
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.2¢	495	Feb 24
Will Trump not say any listed term during the 2026 State of the Union Address?	BUY	1.0¢	100.48	Feb 24
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.2¢	500	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	BUY	21.0¢	5	Feb 24
Will Trump not say any listed term during the 2026 State of the Union Address?	BUY	3.6¢	30	Feb 24
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	21.0¢	5	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 23?	BUY	5.0¢	20	Feb 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 23?	BUY	5.0¢	20	Feb 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 23?	BUY	0.3¢	333.333	Feb 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 23?	BUY	6.0¢	20	Feb 22
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	9.5¢	31.702	Feb 22
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	BUY	17.0¢	5	Feb 21
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.3¢	2,000	Feb 21
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	20.8¢	25	Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 22?	BUY	5.1¢	10	Feb 21

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.6%

Win Consistency54.5%

Profit Factor1.05

Drawdown Resilience0.84

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.84

Weekly Sharpe est.0.64

Trading Activity21 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$280d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue